🏡 Make U.S. Housing Great Again: 25-Year $urge

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Good evening, agents.🌓 Today, we’re exploring a bold vision for the future of U.S. housing—the 25-Year Surge. As market trends shift and demand rises, this surge could reshape real estate for decades to come. In this podcast, we’ll break down the key factors driving this growth and how you can position yourself to benefit.

Let’s dive in and discover how to Make U.S. Housing Great Again! 🏡💰

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🏡 MAKE U.S. HOUSING GREAT AGAIN: 25-YEAR $URGE

PART ONE

1️⃣ A Historic Housing Boom Awaits

The U.S. is on the brink of a 25-year housing boom, potentially the largest in history. Fueled by demographics, demand, policy shifts, and a near-zero crash risk, this surge will redefine the American Dream. New single-family home construction, supercharged by U.S.-based technology, is set to drive explosive economic growth, building generational wealth for millions.

2️⃣ Demographics Drive Unprecedented Demand

A demographic “double whammy” is squeezing the U.S. market. Millennials (born 1981–1996) and Gen Z (born 1997–2012), totaling over 140 million people per the U.S. Census, are hitting prime homebuying ages—30s and 40s. Delayed by student debt ($1.75 trillion nationally, per Federal Reserve 2024), they’re now forming households at a record pace. Meanwhile, Baby Boomers (76 million) are downsizing, offloading homes into a market short 4–5 million units, per the National Association of Realtors (NAR) 2024 estimate.

3️⃣ A Persistent Housing Shortage Fuels Growth

The U.S. faces a 4–5 million home deficit from a decade of underbuilding post-2008, per NAR and Freddie Mac 2024 data. In Austin, Texas, a three-bedroom listing might draw 30 bids, pushing prices up 10% in months (Zillow, March 2025). Canada’s shortfall is similar—1.8 million homes needed by 2030, per Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC) 2024. Single-family homebuilding must surge to close these gaps, making construction a cornerstone of economic growth over the next 25 years.

4️⃣ Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac Privatization Lowers Costs

The Trump administration’s plan to release Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac from conservatorship, enacted January 2025, is a game-changer. Freed from FHFA oversight since 2008, these U.S. GSEs, managing $5 trillion in mortgages (JPMorgan Chase, 2025), will cut overhead and compete with banks. This could shrink the mortgage spread over 10-year U.S. Treasuries (currently 4.1%, per U.S. Treasury) from 2% to 1.5%, dropping rates from 6.5% to 5.5%—saving $150 monthly on a $300,000 loan, per Freddie Mac calculators.

5️⃣ Mortgage Innovation Boosts Accessibility

Post-conservatorship, Fannie and Freddie can assume more risk, reducing private mortgage insurance (PMI) costs ($100–$300 monthly on a $300,000 loan, per Bankrate 2025). For an Ohio family buying a $250,000 home with 10% down, axing PMI saves $1,800 yearly. For a $400,000 home with 5% down ($20,000), PMI at 0.8% annually costs $213 monthly; dropping it saves that amount, boosting buying power by ~$40,000—enough for a $440,000 home at the same payment (5.5% rate, 30-year term). U.S. innovations include 5/1 ARMs, up 15% in applications since Q1 2024 (Freddie Mac, March 2025), offering 4.8% initial rates vs. 6.5% fixed, saving $200 monthly on a $300,000 loan. 40-year terms, offered by U.S. lenders like Provident Credit Union (2024), cut payments by $207 on a $400,000 loan (Rocket Mortgage, 2025).

6️⃣ Federal Land Opens for Development

Trump’s vision includes developing U.S. federal land, spanning 28% of the nation’s territory (640 million acres, per USGS). In Nevada, the Bureau of Land Management (BLM) sold 20 acres near Las Vegas in October 2024 for $2,000 to Clark County, targeting 210 affordable homes (HousingWire, Nov 2024). Builders are active—BLM’s March 2025 New Mexico auction sold 50 parcels for housing near job hubs. U.S. building permits in Western states with federal land access are up 15%, per Census Bureau early 2025 data. Trump’s “Freedom Cities” plan for 10 new U.S. towns, pitched in 2023 (Politico), advanced with a January 2025 executive order identifying Arizona and Texas pilot sites (HousingWire, Jan 2025). This bold move amplifies supply, turning vacant acres into vibrant communities.

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AND THAT'S A WRAP!

Your next big win is waiting. 🏆,

—Tim & Julie Harris
Harris Real Estate Daily

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